Fixed Odds Betting Analysis

Liverpool @
Everton
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Projected Winner

Liverpool

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Win or draw

Match Outcome Predictions

Who AI Thinks will win

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Everton (Home) Victory Chance

10%

Everton (Home) Projected Goal Differential

-2.5


Match Draw Chance

45%

Liverpool (Away) Victory Chance

45%

Liverpool (Away) Projected Goal Differential

-3.5

Scenario One

Draw

Merseyside Derby Stalemate at Goodison Park

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Scenario One

Draw

Merseyside Derby Stalemate at Goodison Park

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Match Winner Draw

7.00

Home

How the Teams Match Up

Away

45%

Recent Match Form Rating

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55%
42%

Recent Match Offensive Rating

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58%
50%

Recent Match Defensive Rating

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50%
37.0%

Comparison Total Percentage

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63.0%

Head to Head Results

Score

Home

Away

Score

2
2
2
Everton
Everton
Everton

2020-06-21

Liverpool
Liverpool
Liverpool
1
1
1
Liverpool

2020-06-21

Everton
0
2
Liverpool

2020-06-21

Everton
Everton

2020-06-21

Liverpool
2
Liverpool

2020-06-21

Everton
1
1
Everton

2020-06-21

Liverpool
4
Liverpool

2020-06-21

Everton
2
2
Everton

2020-06-21

Liverpool
2
Everton

2020-06-21

Liverpool
1
Liverpool

2020-06-21

Everton

How we pick these bets

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Scenario one

Merseyside Derby Stalemate at Goodison Park
Everton and Liverpool end with a draw at Goodison Park.
Draws happen ~22% in EPL.

Bet Components:

Double Chance (Home or Draw)
2.62
Goals Over Under Under 3.5
1.44
Both Teams Score Yes
1.91
Asian Handicap Home +1.5
1.68
Half Time Draw
2.40
This bet will pay $290 with a $10 wager.
Breakeven Ratio: 1-29

Scenario two

Everton wins narrowly against Liverpool at Goodison Park.
Close home wins occur ~8% in EPL.

Bet Components:

Match Winner Home
7.50
Double Chance Home or Draw
2.62
Goals Over Under Under 4.5
1.17
Handicap Result Home +1
2.62
Total Home Over 0.5
1.67
This bet will pay $1052 with a $10 wager.
Breakeven Ratio: 1-105

Scenario three

Everton Outscores Rivals at Goodison
Everton dominates Liverpool, scoring multiple goals.
Home dominant wins ~2% in EPL.

Bet Components:

Match Winner Home
7.50
Double Chance Home or Draw
2.75
Asian Handicap Home +0.75
2.42
Total Home Over 1.5
4.33
Win Both Halves Home
29.00
This bet will pay $31112 with a $10 wager.
Breakeven Ratio: 1-3111

Scenario four

Liverpool Edges It at Goodison
Liverpool narrowly secures victory over Everton at Goodison Park.
Close away wins occur ~10% in EPL.

Bet Components:

Match Winner Away
1.44
Asian Handicap Home +1
2.15
Goals Over Under Under 3.5
1.44
Match Winner Draw
4.33
Both Teams Score Yes
1.91
This bet will pay $570 with a $10 wager.
Breakeven Ratio: 1-57

Scenario five

Liverpool Triumphs Emphatically at Goodison
Liverpool decisively beats Everton at Goodison Park.
Big away wins happen ~5% in EPL.

Bet Components:

Match Winner Away
1.44
Win Both Halves Away
3.40
Total Away Over 3.5
13.00
Asian Handicap Away -1.5
7.00
To Score In Both Halves By Teams Away
2.20
This bet will pay $3920 with a $10 wager.
Breakeven Ratio: 1-392

Scenario six

Predictable Outcomes at Goodison
Liverpool secures a predictable win or draw at Goodison.
Safe outcomes occur ~50% in EPL.

Bet Components:

Double Chance Draw Away
1.10
Match Winner Away
1.44
Clean Sheet Away No
1.67
Goals Over Under Over 1.5
1.22
To Win Either Half Away
1.25
This bet will pay $152 with a $10 wager.
Breakeven Ratio: 1-15

Scenario seven

Remarkable Upset in Merseyside Derby
Astonishing result as Everton outclasses Liverpool at Goodison Park.
Rare outcomes happen ~1% in EPL.

Bet Components:

First Goal Method FreeKick
21.00
Exact Score 4:2
151.00
Asian Handicap Home -1.5
41.00
Win To Nil Home
13.00
Exact Goals Number More 7
19.00
This bet will pay $349230 with a $10 wager.
Breakeven Ratio: 1-34923

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How the Teams Match Up

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Liverpool Projected Goals

-3.5

Everton Projected Goals

-2.5

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