Fixed Odds Betting Analysis
Projected Winner
The projected winner is based on the same team performance data used to set the match odds.Â
Match Outcome Predictions
Who AI Thinks will win
Based on the team data coming from the bookmakers themselves
This is how the AI sees the likely outcome of the match based on the most current team performance data.Â

Aston Villa (Home) Victory Chance

Aston Villa (Home) Projected Goal Handicap
Match Draw Chance

Ipswich (Away) Victory Chance

Ipswich (Away) Projected Goal Handicap
Optimal Betting Scenarios
Scenario One
Match Winner Draw
HT/FT Double Draw/Draw
Result Total Goals Draw Over 2.5
Both Teams Score Yes
Handicap Result Draw -1
Scenario Payout
Scenario Two
Match Winner Home
HT/FT Double Home/Home
Handicap Result Home -1
Total Goals Over 2.5
Win By One Goal
Scenario Payout
Scenario Three
Asian Handicap Home -1.25
Win Both Halves Home
Total Home Goals Over 2.5
Total Goals Over 3.5
Handicap Home -2
Scenario Payout
Scenario Four
Match Winner Away
Win Either Half Away
Double Chance Draw Away
Total Away Goals Over 1.5
Asian Handicap Away +0.5
Scenario Payout
Scenario Five
Asian Handicap Away -1.25
Total Away Goals Over 2.5
Win Both Halves Away
Handicap Away -1
Total Goals Over 4.5
Scenario Payout
Scenario Six
HT/FT Double Away/Away
Total Goals Over 6.5
Goals Over/Under Over 7.5
Handicap Result Home +4
Total Away Goals Over 3.5
Scenario Payout
Home
How the Teams Match Up
Away
Recent Team Momentum
What this means
This rating reflects how well a team has performed in its most recent matches. It considers results such as wins, draws, and losses, as well as the strength of the opponents faced. A higher percentage indicates strong recent form, meaning the team has been consistently performing well, while a lower percentage suggests struggles, inconsistency, or poor results.
How to interpret relative differences:
- If one team has a significantly higher rating than the other, it suggests they are coming into the match with better confidence, rhythm, and possibly stronger overall gameplay.
- A close rating between the two teams suggests similar recent form, meaning past results may not be a strong indicator of who has the upper hand.
- A large gap in ratings (e.g., one team having double or more the percentage of the other) indicates a clear momentum advantage for the higher-rated team, which could impact the outcome.
Attacking Strength Rating
What this means
This percentage evaluates a team’s ability to create and convert scoring opportunities. It takes into account factors such as goals scored, shot accuracy, key passes, and the number of chances created. A higher rating suggests a more effective attack that is likely to generate goal-scoring opportunities, while a lower rating indicates struggles in breaking down defenses or finishing chances.
How to interpret relative differences:
- If both teams have similar attacking ratings, it suggests the match could be evenly contested in terms of goal-scoring chances.
- If one team has a significantly higher attacking rating, they are likely to be more aggressive, generate more shots, and pose a greater goal threat.
- A very large gap (e.g., one team having nearly twice the rating of the other) suggests the weaker team may struggle to create meaningful scoring opportunities, making it harder for them to win if they fall behind.
Defensive Stability Rating
What this means
This rating measures how well a team prevents opponents from scoring. It factors in goals conceded, clean sheets, successful tackles, and defensive organization. A high rating indicates a solid and structured defense that is difficult to break down, while a low rating suggests vulnerability, defensive errors, or frequent concessions of goals.
How to interpret relative differences:
- If both teams have high defensive ratings, the match is likely to be tight, with fewer scoring opportunities.
- A significant difference in ratings suggests that one team is more likely to keep a clean sheet or resist attacking pressure effectively.
- A very large gap (e.g., one team having a defensive rating nearly three times the other) indicates the weaker defense may struggle to contain attacks and could concede multiple goals, especially against a strong attacking opponent.
Overall Team Strength Rating
What this means
This metric combines various performance factors, including recent form, attacking effectiveness, and defensive solidity, into a single percentage that represents a team’s overall strength. A higher rating suggests a well-balanced, in-form team that is more likely to control the game, while a lower rating suggests weaknesses across multiple areas.
How to interpret relative differences:
- If both teams have similar overall ratings, the match could be highly competitive, with no clear favorite.
- If one team has a moderately higher rating, it suggests they have an edge but may still face challenges depending on specific game conditions.
- A very large gap in ratings suggests a strong favorite and a likely underdog, with the lower-rated team needing to perform exceptionally well to compensate for their disadvantages.
Head to Head Results
Score
Home
Away
Score
How we pick these bets
We used fixed odds analysis to look for opportunities in the match odds. We evaluate the most likely scenarios and then create the bundles of bets that produce the most opportunity. We hedge the risk and produce consistent returns.
Scenario one
Bet Components:
Scenario two
Bet Components:
Scenario three
Bet Components:
Scenario four
Bet Components:
Scenario five
Bet Components:
Scenario six
Bet Components:
Scenario seven
Bet Components:
Looking Ahead
Upcoming Matches
More EPL Betting Analysis
New match analysis is added daily.
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